methodology

Exponential Smoothing

Exponential smoothing is a time series forecasting method that uses weighted averages of past observations, with weights decreasing exponentially as observations get older. It is widely used for smoothing data and making short-term predictions in fields like economics, finance, and inventory management. The method is simple, computationally efficient, and adapts well to trends and seasonality through various extensions.

Also known as: ETS, Exponential Weighted Moving Average, EWMA, Holt-Winters, Simple Exponential Smoothing
🧊Why learn Exponential Smoothing?

Developers should learn exponential smoothing when building forecasting models for applications such as demand prediction, stock price analysis, or resource planning, as it provides a lightweight alternative to complex models like ARIMA. It is particularly useful in real-time systems or environments with limited computational resources, where quick, adaptive forecasts are needed without heavy statistical overhead.

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